Abstract: The subject of research is mathematical software prognostic evaluation of functional reliability of the pilot. The object of research is the functional reliability of the professional activities of the pilot. The authors consider in detail such aspects of the topic as automated assessment of the risk of an aviation event due to the release of flight parameters for operational limitations, understanding by the risk assessment the probabilistic measure of the occurrence of an aviation event of a fixed degree of severity due to exceeding operational limitations of the aircraft, in flight such an event (depending on the severity effects) is classified as an aviation event, subject to the investigation. The research methodology is based on the system approach and unites methods of probability theory, mathematical statistics, aviation cybernetics, psychophysiology of flight work. The main result of the study is a software-implemented technology for predicting the functional reliability of the pilot, implemented, allowing to implement an individual a priori risk assessment of an aviation event (incident) for a group of causative factors "crew" in the most critical stages of flight (takeoff and landing) Accumulated statistics of aviation events caused by the release of flight parameters for operational limitations, which is important To ensure proactive management of safety levels in the airline. The novelty of the research is that the technology of predictive estimation of the functional reliability of the pilot is developed on the basis of the concept of acceptable risk of an accident.

Abstract: The research subject is the procedure of airlines personnel training in the sphere of flight safety management according to the functional peculiarities and the form of participation in a particular flight safety provision system taking into consideration the interaction between the units of the airline and the departments of the sector, the achieved level of flight safety and the flight safety system development plan in the interest of safety culture development and the decrease of a negative impact of human error on flight safety. The research methodology combines the methods of the reliability theory, industrial psychology, flight pedagogics, system analysis, professional training and retraining management. The novelty of the study consists in the justification of a standard program of differentiated professional training which reflects the requirements and recommendations of regulatory documents, implements the main principles of the system approach to flight safety management, reflects the conceptual framework of the flight safety management system, and considers the achieved security level and the plans of its development. 

Abstract: The subject of this study is the multitude of issues regarding the improvement of personnel training with the help of automated training systems, achieved by implementing adaptive personified management for personnel training, which would consider individual traits of the subject of training, non-monotonous structure of study trajectories, predictions for mastering study material, achieved through retrospective study dynamics analysis. During the personnel training process based on the analysis of the results of student-automated system interaction, the efficiency of the chosen strategy is being evaluated, producing recommendations for adaptive correction based on transformation theory's theses. This research employed the methods of engineering psychology, system analysis, knowledge management, automated systems engineering, ergonomics. The main conclusions of this study revolve around the fact that using the methods of the transformation study theory for implementing adaptive personalized personnel training management, using automated training systems allows to shorten the time and enhance the quality of professional training of subjects, due to optimizing the typical structure of training for each subject, considering their individual study traits.

Abstract: The paper presents a study of procedures of automated monitoring and regulation of the safety of aircraft, as well as procedures for the automated control of the changes in the air-operated transport system. Analysis of the dynamics of the safety of aircraft is required to obtain an objective assessment of the effectiveness of corporate safety management system and its planned development, that is a requirement of the standards of the International Air Transport Association and recommended practice of ICAO. A detection of unacceptable values in the current or forecasted level of the safety reflects the state of aviation transport system, characterized by a potentially high risk that requires a rapid response from analysis of aviation incidents and prerequisites to them to determining the cause of unacceptable changes with subsequent regulations in safety management. To solve this problem author uses results of regular monthly monitoring of the current level of safety in the airline statistics of aviation events registered in the safety management system of the company, which was then processed using the theory of probability and mathematical statistics. The novelty of the research is in created software for automated predictive safety monitoring of airlines using statistical detection of potentially dangerous changes in the level of safety, based on the analysis of retrospective information obtained as a result of monitoring of the safety of the flight, taking into account the requirements of international standards in the field of civil aviation.

Abstract: The subject of the study are the accounting for the human factor in the implementation of the operation control of complex ergatic (man-machine) in the presence of small (for lack of statistical forecasting) the amount of information about the emergency (emergency) situations caused by human factor, as well as prerequisites for the development of such situations. That is, the problem is solved the problem of estimating the probability of the event was not observed during the study period, which is important to ensure preventive management Human-machine system, taking into account the characteristics of the human factor. The research methodology is based on the theory of functional states of the system operators "man-machine", probability theory, mathematical statistics. The novelty of the research is to develop technology-looking assessment of functional reliability of the pilot to assess the probability of exit flight parameters for the operating restrictions in flight, implemented in an automated risk management system flight safety. The results are of a general nature, allowing them to apply adaptive control operation of any ergonomics systems.